<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.3/JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xml:lang="ru">
  <front xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="elibrary">9004</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Problems of information security. Computer systems</journal-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Проблемы информационной безопасности. Компьютерные системы</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2071-8217</issn>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">9</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.48612/jisp/39u8-prha-62z7</article-id>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Analysis and prediction of states of industrial networks with adaptive topology based on network motifs</article-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Анализ и прогнозирование состояний промышленных сетей с адаптивной топологией на основе сетевых мотивов</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0003-1345-1874</contrib-id>
          <name>
            <surname>Pavlenko</surname>
            <given-names>Evgeny</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
          <email>pavlenko_eyu@spbstu.ru</email>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="aff1">Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University</aff>
      <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-09-20">
        <day>20</day>
        <month>09</month>
        <year>2024</year>
      </pub-date>
      <issue>3</issue>
      <fpage>94</fpage>
      <lpage>108</lpage>
      <self-uri xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" content-type="pdf" xlink:href="https://jisp.spbstu.ru/userfiles/files/soderzhaniya/2024_3-5-6.pdf"/>
      <abstract xml:lang="en">
        <p>An approach to investigating the states of complex industrial networks with adaptive topology using network motifs - statistically significant subgraphs of a larger graph - is proposed. The analysis presented addresses the ability of network motifs to characterize system performance and the possibility of their application to short-, medium-, and long-term prediction of system states. Using the Smart Grid network structure as an example, a directed graph is modeled, in which the most common motifs are searched, several attack scenarios on network nodes are simulated and a network state prediction is built. The results of experimental studies confirmed the correctness and validity of the application of this mathematical apparatus for the set tasks</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
        <kwd>dynamic graph</kwd>
        <kwd>network motive</kwd>
        <kwd>target function</kwd>
        <kwd>network with adaptive topology</kwd>
        <kwd>forecasting</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>
