MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF SPREAD OF COMPUTER ATTACKS ON CRITICAL INFORMATION INFRASTRUCTURE

This paper presents a mathematical model for the spread of computer attacks on critical
information infrastructure based on the extension of the basic Lotka-Volterra model. Within the
framework of the proposed model, the problem to be solved is formulated, the point of stability
of the system is determined, and a criterion is proposed for the adequacy of the applied methods
for detecting attacks to changing parameters of the critical information infrastructure and existing
cyber threats.